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Image courtesy of AP Can LeBron James & the Heat repeat as NBA Champs? |
On the eve of Halloween night and the day after an east
coast super-storm, the 2012-13 NBA season is finally upon us.
After a lockout-shortened season last year, fans anxiously
await the season’s opening tip at 7pm, when the Washington Wizards take on the
Cleveland Cavaliers in a battle of youth. Not to take anything away from those
two teams, but the real show starts at 8, when the Boston Celtics face the
Miami Heat in a rematch of last year’s Eastern Conference Finals. Now ex-Celtic
Ray Allen joins newly-throned King James and the Heat, who look to pick up
right where they left off, while Boston’s Paul Pierce and Kevin Garnett look to
show doubters that age is nothing but a number.
The final game of the night brings even more
anticipation, as Laker fans will see the team’s new-look lineup for the first
time in regular season play. Signing Point Guard Steve Nash and trading for
star Center Dwight Howard certainly makes Los Angeles the team to beat in the
West, but the Dallas Mavericks, who are without their star Dirk Nowitzki for
the first 3-6 weeks of the season, will do whatever they can to show that
they’re no slouch.
Fans are excited for their first dose of November
basketball in two years and this offseason has certainly been filled with
splash after splash, the most recent being last Saturday when Oklahoma City Thunder guard
James Harden was dealt to the Houston Rockets for Kevin Martin, Jeremy Lamb and
three draft picks. In turn, it’s also altered the 2012-13 outlook for many
teams; many teams can be called winners this offseason and it will make for an
extremely entertaining year. That being said, here are Parth’s Playbook’s
OFFICIAL Season Predictions:
Eastern
Conference
1. Miami Heat 63-19
After winning his first championship last season, LeBron James isn’t satisfied
yet. James, Dwayne Wade & Chris Bosh
look to repeat this year and with newly added veteran Ray Allen only bolstering
their depth, it doesn’t seem like anyone or anything can stop them from doing
so. Mario Chalmers has another year of experience under his belt, Shane Battier
is a valuable asset to any team and Rashard Lewis & Udonis Haslem are solid
role-players. That, along with the fact that they have two of the league’s top
10, arguably top 5 players will be extremely tough to compete with for any team.
2. Indiana Pacers 50-32
The Pacers didn’t do much this offseason, but they were a team on the rise
last season. This season, they’ll show that they’re for real, finishing #2 in
the East. Sure, it helps that Bulls Point Guard Derrick Rose is out until at
least March, but after almost pushing Miami to the brink last year, the Pacers
will only improve. Center Roy Hibbert’s quickly becoming one of the top players
at his position while Danny Granger and Paul George are both rising stars. This
Pacers team is overlooked by many, but they’ll prove this year that they’re a
force to be reckoned with.
3. Philadelphia 76ers 48-34
When the Dwight Howard blockbuster trade was made in July, many looked at
how the Lakers won and the Magic lost, but not many looked at the team who
upgraded most in the trade: the 76ers. While the Lakers acquired the best
Center in the league they upgraded from second best to best. The Sixers
upgraded from Spencer Hawes to Andrew Bynum, easily the best Center in the
East. He may be hurt now, but when he comes back that acquisition, along with
the signings of Nick Young and Dorrell Wright this offseason will put the 76ers
in the middle of the Atlantic Division race. Although they lost their longest
tenured player in Andre Iguodala to get Bynum, the upgrade was significant and
now the team’s young players get their chance to shine. It’s Evan Turner’s
third season, and he showed significant improvement last year. Jrue Holiday’s
ready to truly break out this season and Thaddeus Young will continue to be a
solid contributor. This team pushed Boston to the brink last year, but this
year they’ll go as far as Bynum takes them.
4. Boston Celtics 47-35
Boston was one win away from an NBA Finals berth last year, but as the
years go by, the Celtics chance to win the big one again lowers. With Ray Allen
gone and Avery Bradley hurt, it’s up to Rajon Rondo, Paul Pierce and Kevin
Garnett to carry the load again. Last postseason, KG laughed at the people who
said he was getting old and showed nothing but intensity during the Celtics’
final games, but the fact is that it’s true. He’s 36, Pierce is 35. Jason Terry
will be a solid replacement for Allen, but he’s 35 too. Experience can’t be
taught, and this team will make the playoffs. They’ll make a run at the
Atlantic, but they’ll need a miracle run to have a shot at winning it all
again.
5. Brooklyn Nets 44-38
This team looks to be at their best since the days of Jason Kidd ten years
ago. With Deron Williams, Joe Johnson, Gerald Wallace and a healthy Brook
Lopez, this team has the potential to go far. The main thing to worry about
with this team is the chemistry, as Johnson has just joined the team, Lopez was
out most of last year and Wallace joined the team near the end of last season.
There could be some struggles at the start, which is why they don’t look like
the Atlantic Division favorite right now, but depending on how quickly they get
it together, they have a shot at turning more than a few heads this season.
6. Chicago Bulls 43-39
Obviously the loss of Derrick Rose is huge. Last season, the Bulls were the
best in the East. This year, they won’t come close, but they’re still a good
team without Rose. Joakim Noah, Carlos Boozer and Luol Deng will have to lead
the charge as Chicago hopes to play well enough to make the playoffs. With Rose
due back in March at the earliest, this team could be a sleeper in the
playoffs.
7. New York Knicks 42-40
Losing Amare Stoudemire for the first six weeks is a huge blow for this
Knicks team and that, along with the loss of Jeremy Lin to free agency will prove
to be significant. It’ll be tough for this team to get started. If they play
well without Stoudemire, they could be further up in the standings, but it
doesn’t look too good for this Knicks team right now.
8. Atlanta Hawks 40-42
The key for the Hawks is a healthy Al Horford, who missed most of last
season with a torn pectoral muscle. If he and Josh Smith are healthy all year,
this team could be over .500. The addition of Lou Williams and Devin Harris
helps to soften the blow of losing their star in Joe Johnson, but the drop in
talent is obvious, which is why the Hawks will sneak into the playoffs this
year.
Western
Conference
1. Los Angeles Lakers 57-25
The offseason winner this year is definitely the LA Lakers. They signed
Steve Nash and traded for Dwight Howard, which gives them a starting lineup of
Nash-Kobe-“World Peace”-Pau-Dwight. This lineup rivals that of Miami’s as the
best in the NBA, and right now it’s hard to tell which one is better. The only
certainty is that the Lakers are insanely good, and with the Thunder trading
away James Harden, them having the best record in the West is a foregone
conclusion barring a severe injury.
2. Oklahoma City Thunder 53-29
Like I said, if the Thunder still had Harden, they would be in contention
with the Lakers for the top spot in the West. After making the Finals last
season only to be humbled by Miami, this was potentially going to be the year
they got over the hump. After trading Harden, however, that no longer seems to
be the case. The Thunder are still very good, and their future still looks
extremely bright, but this year? It looks like saw the talent the Lakers had
and sacrificed for the future.
3. San Antonio Spurs 52-30
It seems that the Spurs have been in the Western Conference race for the
last 15 years. They’ve been the most consistently good team in the league since
their 1999 NBA Championship. Now that Tim Duncan is getting old, it seems like
they should be deteriorating, but they aren’t. Tony Parker and Manu Ginoboli
can still play at an extremely high level when healthy and Duncan is still an
extremely viable option at power forward. They’re still a top team, but it’s
going to be tough for them to compete against the Lakers or Thunder as the
season goes on.
4. Los Angeles Clippers 50-32
Another year together for Blake Griffin and Chris Paul can only mean better
things for the Clippers. They’re still on the rise, but the teams above them
still remain. Another second round berth looks likely for this Clipper team,
but any Western Conference team who comes in contact with the Lakers this year
is likely to get eliminated.
5. Denver Nuggets 48-34
It seems that if the Nuggets are the forgotten team in the Dwight Howard
trade, even though they acquired Andre Iguodala, the third best player in the
deal. He is reunited with point guard
Andre Miller and joins another team with great depth. If JaVale McGee gets his
head on straight, this team could contend and beat the Clippers, and they could
potentially hang with any team in the West… except the Lakers. Ty Lawson and
Kenneth Faried both look good and Danillo Gallinari will be good for 15 PPG
& 5 RPG.
6. Dallas Mavericks 45-37
The Mavs hoped to get Deron Williams this offseason but failed. They still
have their best player in Dirk Nowitzki, but he’s opening the season injured
and this team has been going downhill since winning the championship two
seasons ago. They’re still a good enough team to make the playoffs, but it’ll
be tough for them to do much more than that.
7. Houston Rockets 42-40
The acquisitions of Jeremy Lin and James Harden this offseason made this
team from below-average to slightly above-average. They’re still nothing to write home about, but
they’ll make the playoffs, and potentially take the Thunder to five, maybe six
games with Harden wanting to prove himself against his former team.
8. Sacramento Kings 41-41
The Kings were a pretty bad team last year, but they were also extremely
young. Tyreke Evans and Demarcus Cousins are ready to lead this team to a
playoff berth this year, and they will be the surprise team of the NBA. The
Lakers will dismantle them, but I expect this season to be the start of
something big for Sacramento in the coming years.
NBA Playoffs
EC Quarters
1 Miami vs. 8
Atlanta in 4
2 Indiana vs.
7 New York in 6
3 Philadelphia vs.
6 Chicago in 6
4 Boston vs. 5
Brooklyn in 7
EC Semis
1 Miami vs. 5
Brooklyn in 5
2 Indiana vs. 3
Philadelphia in 7
EC Finals
1 Miami vs. 3
Philadelphia in 6
WC Quarters
1 Los Angeles vs.
8 Sacramento in 4
2 Oklahoma City
vs. 7 Houston in 5
3 San Antonio
vs. 6 Dallas in 5
4 Los Angeles
vs. 5 Denver in 7
WC Semis
1 Los Angeles vs.
4 Los Angeles in 6
2 Oklahoma City vs.
3 San Antonio in 7
WC Finals
1 Los Angeles vs.
2 Oklahoma City in 6
NBA Finals
1 Miami vs. 1
Los Angeles in 6